For every good reason there is to lie, there is a better reason to tell the truth. – Bo Bennett
Welcome to the big show to end the week “Caught My Eye” (CME)!
If you are a first-time visitor, CME is posted right here every Friday morning. This is when I take a look at some of the stories I did not have time to write about during the week. I often throw in a touch of sarcasm to make you smile – or to irritate you just a little – maybe both.
Topics this week include Linda’s conspiracy theory, deleting emails, Rick Perry, The Western Word picks the winning candidates (so far), and much more!
Linda’s Conspiracy Theory:
I have always thought very highly of current Montana Secretary of State Linda McCulloch, but it seems lately she is sticking her foot in her mouth about every time I read the paper.
The Associated Press reported that McCulloch said the idea that next month’s elections could be rigged is a conspiracy theory comparable to the U.S. government hiding aliens in Roswell, New Mexico, Elvis Presley faking his death or the 1969 moon landing being a hoax.
Before I go on, I actually saw Elvis the other day. He was sitting between me and Bigfoot on a UFO.
Now let me continue…
We’ve had some shady happenings in Montana this election season and past elections.
People are knocking on doors and asking to take a voter’s ballot to the elections office – but first asking them whom they supported. Some ballots have not shown up at elections offices.(MT Standard)
Personally, I will always remember Montana’s Governor, Brian Schweitzer bragging to a group of attorneys in Philadelphia about using tribal police and local Democratic officials to fix the 2006 Senate election for Jon Tester – an election Tester won by just 3,562 votes – a number that has a permanent place in my mind. (NY Times)
Maybe the ballots will show up and maybe Schweitzer was full of it. Well, I know Schweitzer is full of it, but maybe just maybe he tampered with the 2006 election. Nonetheless, these things cast doubt on Montana’s elections.
Right after Schweitzer made those remarks, the attorney general at that time, his fellow democrat Mike McGrath, refused to investigate. Now McGrath is on the Montana Supreme Court.
I hope that Secretary McCulloch pulls her head out of the sand or wherever she has it these past few months and takes the 2016 election seriously – and is as neutral as she can be. This is her last election as Montana’s Secretary of State – and it’s already tainted with her silly remarks and with her lackadaisical attitude.
When I heard that Chris Hansen was holding a press conference in Great Falls, I figured he was going to announce that his “To Catch a Predator” show was coming to town.
It was the wrong Chris Hansen. Damn it!
The “Kris Hansen” was Republican state senator Kris Hansen. Surprisingly, she said when Democrat Steve Bullock was Attorney General he should not have deleted his emails when he left that office to become governor, blah, blah, blah.
A recent story in the Billings Gazette stated that Republican Attorney General Tim Fox’s “officials do not know when Bullock’s email records were deleted. Believe me, if Fox could get Bullock for something, he would.
It was also reported that Department of Administration officials have previously said emails accounts are deleted when an official moves to a different agency, and Bullock’s emails from his tenure as attorney general were disposed of properly.
Hansen’s stunt was purely political and the local media grabbed the bait. Mission accomplished. Another mission was accomplished – making state Senator Hansen look ignorant.
Former Texas Governor Rick Perry was in Montana this week shooting some clay pigeons with Republican candidate for Governor, Greg Gianforte, near Great Falls. I don’t think they went dancing…
Since Perry and Gianforte were both armed, I stayed in my bunker until I heard they were gone.
There are three things I like about Perry. First, he’s a veteran. Second…I can’t remember the second. Come to think of it, I can’t even remember the third…
If The Election Was Held Today:
Almost every week until Election Day (mostly on Friday), I will pick who I think is winning eight key races from President on down to state-wide races in Montana. This does not mean they will be the winners in November or that I am personally supporting them, I just think they are winning their contests at this particular time. These picks are made from what I am hearing, seeing, and from my vast experience in the political world!
If the election was held today, I think the winners would be:
President: Hillary Clinton
–The FiveThirtyEight blog gives Clinton about an 83% chance of winning the election and getting about 329 electoral votes (she needs 270). The news that Obamacare costs are going up helped Donald Trump, but probably not enough.
MT House At-Large: Ryan Zinke
-The MSU-B poll showed Zinke with a large lead over Denise Juneau. Another poll showed him with a large lead, too.
MT Governor: Steve Bullock
-A recent poll showed Bullock with a pretty large lead, but I think it’s a 3-5 point race for Bullock. I think Montana has been oversaturated with Greg Gianforte ads and people are suffering Gianforte stress.
MT Secretary of State: Corey Stapleton
-I’m hearing that Corey Stapleton’s ads are working and he is making some headway in this race. So I changed this from toss-up to leaning slightly toward a Stapleton win over Monica Lindeen.
MT Attorney General: Tim Fox
-Fox should win this race over Larry Jent. What’s next for Fox?
MT State Auditor: Toss-up
-Jesse Laslovich has a good ad up attacking Matt Rosendale. I think this race is closer than a 10 point margin that a recent poll showed.
MT OPI: Toss-up
-Elsie Arntzen has a slight lead in a recent poll over Melissa Romano. Romano is up on TV with an ad that is helping her with name recognition.
The “land board” in Montana may be controlled by Republicans for the first time I can remember.
MT Supreme Court Justice #3: Toss-up
-A recent poll shows Kristen Juras with a slight lead over Dirk Sandefur, but there were many undecideds. Juras has a TV ad up, and this may help her widen her lead and get better known in the closing days. I saw another ad – this one an anti-Juras ad from a third-party group. With all the endorsements and donations he’s received from Montana attorneys, if Sandefur is elected, one would think he may not work much since he would have to recuse himself from many cases.
*Next week are the final picks – I pick the winners!
If you see any of the races differently or just want to yell at me, let me know in the comment section or send me an email (firstname.lastname@example.org)
One More Thing:
If there were only “native Montanans” allowed to live in Montana, you would probably be married to your cousin…