MT Senate 2014: Plus 10

Mondays in the summer are not supposed to be too exciting, but with a new poll showing a dramatic change in Montana’s U.S. Senate race between Sen. John Walsh and Rep. Steve Daines, yesterday had to be pretty exciting for the Walsh campaign. That’s probably not the case in the Daines camp.

Public Policy Polling (PPP) released the results of a new Montana Senate poll yesterday morning showing Senator John Walsh has gained 10 points on Steve Daines since their last poll in November. Walsh now trails Daines by just seven points 46-39.

Some headlines told it this way:

Poll: Walsh closing on Daines in U.S. Senate raceThe Bozeman Daily Chronicle

New poll shows Montana U.S. Senate race tighteningKBZK Bozeman

Poll shows Montana’s U.S. Senate race is tighteningKXLH Helena

Here are some things that caught my attention in the latest poll.

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MT Senate 2012: The Boat Crash Revisited

Just sit right back and you’ll hear a tale, a tale of a fateful trip…aboard this tiny ship.  -Gilligan’s Island theme song

Maybe. Maybe not.

Back in January 2011, I wrote a column titled, “Final Word: The Boat Crash” regarding the 2009 boat crash involving U.S. Rep. Denny Rehberg, former state Sen. Greg Barkus and three others.

The issue won’t go away. It will continue to be a topic of discussion anytime Denny Rehberg runs for public office – along with many of his other missteps during his political career.   Continue reading

MT Senate 2012: J-e-t-s, Jets, Jets, JETS

Readers may remember that I’ve written about the battle between U.S. Senator Jon Tester and Congressman Denny Rehberg over who can best sustain the military missions in Montana’s only military town, Great Falls, for the next six years.

Several times I have called Great Falls and the county it’s in (Cascade) the battleground in the U.S. Senate race.

Denny Rehberg brought Senator (and former Presidential candidate) John McCain to town. Jon Tester brought Senator (and former Navy Secretary) Jim Webb to town. Both are Vietnam veterans.  There may be others who paid a visit – I don’t get out of my bunker much these days with all the drones flying around… Continue reading

MT Senate Debate 2012: It Got Personal

Although it was held during Monday Night Football, I enjoyed the debate between U.S. Senator Jon Tester and his challenger, Congressman Denny Rehberg. Both candidates made it interesting from the start and the hour went by quickly. Plus, it got personal.

This morning both candidates are feeling they won, and there are things they can take away from the debate that are positive. As for the people who watched the debate – we basically saw an hour-long replay of the negative television ads that are running across the state – except we saw the candidates giving the responses instead of just saying, “and I approved this message.”

We heard about trips abroad, a lawsuit against the city of Billings, voting with Obama 95% of the time, supporting the stimulus, lobbyists, not supporting the stimulus, etc.

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Monday Morning Politics

Welcome to Monday and Monday Morning Politics!  Happy Columbus Day, too!

Monday Morning Politics is brought to you by number 29 today – there are just 29 days until General Election Day (Nov. 6) and this week absentee ballots are being mailed here in Montana. Oh my…

Today I take a look at debate Monday, Firefighters, an Avalanche of Articles, the Monument Issue, a Personal View, and The Message. There’s more so read on…

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U.S. Senate 2012 (MT): The Polls

In case you missed it, a new Rasmussen Reports poll was released yesterday showing current Congressman and candidate for U.S. Senate Denny Rehberg with a 47-43 lead over incumbent Senator Jon Tester in the Montana Senate race.  It received little attention in the media and was mentioned just a few times on Twitter.

According to this chart on the Real Clear Politics website, Rehberg has been leading in the last 9 out of 11 polls.

As we head into “crunch time” for the November elections, Team Rehberg has to be pleased.  As for Team Tester it is not panic time, but with 9 out of the last 11 polls showing him trailing, he just might start cranking up his campaign a notch or two or he may be a “one and done” senator.

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U.S. Senate 2012 (MT): New Ads – “Lost” & “Fighting Swipe Fees”

At my house when a political ad comes on the television that is negative toward U.S. Senator Jon Tester or his opponent Congressman Denny Rehberg the first one in my family to shout, “Shut the front door” wins.  I don’t exactly know what the winner receives, but since I am winning this little contest I think the prize will probably be really nice.  Honestly, I mostly play the game by myself but my wife is starting to play along, although somewhat reluctantly.  The kids just think I’m weird – but just wait until they see the grand prize…

Today I take a look at a couple of political ads that are pretty good – good enough to catch my attention and make me want to share them with my readers.  The Rehberg campaign has a new ad called “Lost” and the Montana Petroleum Marketers and Convenience Store Association has a “Fighting Swipe Fees” ad running in the state which takes on Senator Jon Tester.

Enjoy my analysis of the ads and don’t forget to shout, “SHUT THE FRONT DOOR” when you hear a negative ad which will add a little humor to this thing called politics (it’s a long way to November)… Continue reading

Thursday Numbers

Happy Thursday!  If this is your first time visiting The Western Word (TWW), “Thursday Numbers” is my weekly column where I take a look at the numbers mentioned in the news (in descending order) and provide commentary (sometimes with a little sarcasm).

NOTICE: By reading this column you will probably gain a great deal of knowledge not found on other websites! You can use this information to impress your family, friends and co-workers, and it might even be life changing – so consider yourself warned…

This week I write about Powerball, welfare, unemployment, texting, bison, Boehner in Billings, TSA, Gillian Anderson, heat, dogs rule, pay raises, and gold medals.  There’s a lot more so read on…

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U.S. Senate (MT) 2012: Seniors & Social Security

It’s a tried and true method in political campaigns – scare senior citizens into believing that their benefits are going to be reduced or taken away and that your opponent is the horrible dude who will lead the way in gutting those benefits if he/she is elected.  For good measure, throw in the word “privatization” and senior citizens will spring out of their comfy chairs to get to the polls like an Olympic diver in the three meter springboard competition. Continue reading