Lee Newspapers recently commissioned a poll done by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research that showed incumbent U.S. Senator Jon Tester leading Congressman Denny Rehberg, 46-45%, with 9% undecided.

In case Montana political races are not on your front-burner, here’s a primer: Tester is a first-term U.S. Senator (D) and Rehberg (R) has been Montana’s only U.S. Representative since 2000. Rehberg has announced that he is running against Tester for the U.S. Senate seat.

The poll was conducted by telephone with 625 registered voters. It has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points, so this race is basically tied. You can read Lee Newspapers’ story about the poll HERE and then come back here for my independent analysis. Continue reading →