Tuesday’s Quick Hits

Fight for the things that you care about. But do it in a way that will lead others to join you. ― Ruth Bader Ginsburg

Today’s independent commentary deals with these people/issues:

  • NY Times/Siena Poll
  • Ginsburg Replacement
  • Against the Wind

NY TIMES/SIENA POLL:

If you follow me on Twitter (@TheWesternWord) then you were one of the first to see the results of the New York Times/Siena College Research Institute polls about the Montana U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and Governor races.

Here are the key numbers:

  • Trump 49, Biden 42
  • Daines 45, Bullock 44
  • Gianforte 45, Cooney 39
  • Williams 44, Rosendale 41

The problem with the poll is they included the Green Party candidates and they will not be on the ballot. The people who favor the Green Party candidates *may* lean more toward the Democrat on the ballot.

The poll was conducted September 14-16, 2020, with 625 Montana Likely Voters. The MOE +/- 4.8%.

You can read the whole poll HERE. The crosstabs are interesting.

GINSBURG REPLACEMENT:

The Hill has published a list of top contenders to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg. You can read the article HERE.

Trump said he would pick a woman, so I think there are only two choices. Amy Coney Barrett and Barbara Lagoa.

I lean toward Trump picking Lagoa. According to The Hill, Lagoa, 52, is a Cuban American judge and native of Florida.

If Trump thinks picking Lagoa will help him win Florida in November, then he will use her to help him. Trump trails Biden in Florida. According to Ballotpedia:

In the past 10 presidential elections, Republican candidates have won Florida seven times and Democratic candidates have won Florida three times. In nine of those 10 elections, the candidate that won Florida ended up winning the presidential election. Only George H.W. Bush (R) failed to win the presidency after winning Florida’s electoral votes.

Lagoa was easily confirmed to her present position getting 80 votes in the Senate.

AGAINST THE WIND:

Reuters is reporting that a majority of Americans, including many Republicans, want the winner of the November presidential election to name a successor to Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the U.S. Supreme Court, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Sunday.

According to the poll, 62% of American adults agreed the vacancy should be filled by the winner of the Nov. 3 matchup between President Donald Trump and Democratic former Vice President Joe Biden, while 23% disagreed and the rest said they were not sure. Eight out of 10 Democrats – and five in 10 Republicans – agreed that the appointment should wait until after the election.

I’m sure after seeing this poll, Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell will change direction and wait until after November 3.

Just kidding, it’s all about power in Washington, D.C., and right now Trump and McConnell have the power.

Read more about the Reuters/Ipsos poll HERE.

## KEEP PUSHIN’ ##

3 thoughts on “Tuesday’s Quick Hits

  1. Thanks for the poll. I was going to comment on a few points. But then those points kept adding up. So just the last section, of those polled, 12% say they voted for “other” – not Trump or Clinton and 9 % didn’t vote in 2016.
    12% I don’t think so.

    • Mary – Good point. We did have Libertarian Gary Johnson get about 6% and Green Party Jill Stein get about 2% of the vote in Montana in 2016. Other people may have written in people like John Kasich. It’s hard to see that it adds up to 12% though. Thanks, JmB

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