Caught My Eye…

It’s not what you are that holds you back; it’s what you think you are not. ― Denis Waitley

Welcome to the big show to end the week “Caught My Eye” (CME)!

If you are a first-time visitor, welcome! CME is the once a week column that is posted here every Friday morning. This is when I take a look at some of the stories I did not have time to write about during the week. There may will be some sarcasm and pointed commentary so be warned!

Here are the topics that “Caught My Eye” this week:

  • Kavanaugh & Ford
  • 2018 Montana Pre-Election Survey
  • About that Poll
  • Bullock & I-185
  • Congressional Approval Ratings
  • One More Thing

Kavanaugh & Ford:

It seems the longer the process to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court takes, the more he suffers in the polls.

A new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that 38 percent of voters say they oppose Kavanaugh’s nomination to serve on the nation’s highest court while 34 percent support his nomination.

His approval is trending the wrong way.

The whole thing is a mess. It’s a dark mark on our country.

The Republicans need to hold together and get at least 50 Senators to support Kavanaugh and let the Vice President break the tie if it ends up that way. Polls don’t matter if they can hold their Senators together.

Will any Republican Senators blink?

The Democrats would like to see this thing drag out until after the election and hope they can win the Senate.

In recent news, the President is pushing for the vote which makes me think that the longer it goes the less of a chance there will be to get Kavanaugh confirmed. The lawyers for Christine Blasey Ford supposedly would like her to testify on Thursday and also want several other conditions met.

If Ford is able to give compelling testimony, will it sway at least two Republican Senators to vote against Kavanaugh?

2018 Montana Pre-Election Survey:

The Montana State University (MSU) and Montana Television Network (MTN) 2018 Montana Pre-Election Survey arrived in our mailbox Thursday.

It was addressed to my wife. Bummer.

The survey has 38 questions and is very thorough. The major statewide contests and ballot issues are covered as well as many other issues. I can’t wait to see the results – to see what Montanans think.

If you receive the survey, please take time to complete it and return it no later than October 5, 2018. It should only take you 10-15 minutes. There’s even a postage-free envelope to return it in, which is nice.

About that Poll:

The Montana Republicans were quick to send out a fundraising email saying a new poll was released that showed their man, Matt Rosendale, was tied with Jon Tester.

At least the Washington Examiner was a little clearer when they reported the story:

Sen. Jon Tester was in trouble in a fresh Republican poll, as GOP challenger Matt Rosendale pulled even with the Montana Democrat at 44 percent.

The survey of likely voters from the National Republican Senatorial Committee, in the field Monday to Wednesday, had a relatively high margin of error — 4.47 percent.

So the poll is a National Republican Senatorial Committee poll which is tasked with electing Republicans to the U.S. Senate.

Color me skeptical.

But, in the might as well join them category, the campaign of Jon Tester sent out a fundraising email early this morning saying, “We just got breaking news: a brand-new poll shows our opponent is TIED with us right now — 44% to 44%.”

I guess everybody wins…

Bullock & I-185:

Supporters of Initiative 185, which raises state tobacco taxes and extends Medicaid expansion in Montana, rolled out a campaign ad Wednesday featuring a prominent backer: Gov. Steve Bullock. (KTVH)

Those against I-185 have been spending big to defeat the ballot measure.

I think with Bullock on the airwaves his involvement may seal a win for the supporters of I-185. We’ll see. It’s not a great commercial featuring Bullock, but it may do the trick.

The bottom line is that people don’t mind supporting something like I-185 if they don’t have to pay for it.

Congressional Approval Ratings:

Gallup polling reported this week that Americans continue to have a low opinion of Congress, with 19% of the public currently approving of the job it is doing. This is little changed from the 17% who approved of Congress last month and remains within the 15% to 20% range seen for congressional approval since January of this year.

When I read about it, I thought, “What else is new?”

You can read the whole Gallup report HERE. There is a lot of interesting information contained in the report.

One More Thing:

I leave you with this…

O’ beautiful, for spacious skies
But now those skies are threatening
They’re beating plowshares into swords
For this tired old man that we elected king
Armchair warriors often fail
And we’ve been poisoned by these fairy tales
The lawyers clean up all details
Since daddy had to lie
-“The End of the Innocence” Written by Bruce Hornsby/Don Henley

 

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2 Comments

  1. Ed Whelan finally took down his goofy conspiracy theory on Twitter that tried to implicate a running buddy of Kavanaugh’s.

    Kavanaugh must not be approved by the Senate. He has been proven to have repeatedly perjured himself in his previous hearings.

    • Thanks, Doug. The longer it goes the harder it will be for Kavanaugh to be confirmed. -JmB


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